The Trouble with TrianglesThe governments Zero Carbon Homes (ZCH) policy was launched in 2007 with the aim of reducing the carbon emissions from new homes built in the UK to 'near zero'. I've written in the past about how this policy has been successively watered down and why the argument put forward in support of 'easing the cost burden on house-builders' is fundamentally flawed.
Recently, however, I started to wonder about the way the proposed structure of the ZCH policy was presented. No government pronouncement on ZCH is complete without a pictorial representation of the ZCH Hierarchy.
|The misleading qualities of geometry?|
This image, reproduced from the recent DCLG consultation on Allowable Solutions, is shown above. I have carefully scaled the triangle from this document for reasons that will become apparent when you read on...
The base of the triangle represents the carbon emissions from a dwelling built to 2006 Building Regulations, and the top of the triangle represents the 'pinnacle of achievement' that is a Zero Carbon Home. The layers of the triangle represent different parts of the proposed policy.
Starting at the bottom, we have the Fabric Energy Efficiency Standard (FEES). The idea is that developers should 'build-in' efficiency gains to the property first through higher levels of insulation, lower draughtiness and installing an efficient heating system. Government plans to legislate a minimum standard the home must achieve with such measures. This concept was recently implemented into Building Regulations for the first time in the 2013 version.
The next layer up the triangle is called "Carbon Compliance". It represents the reduction of carbon emissions on-site through the use of low and zero carbon technologies such as solar panels. Government plans to set a minimum level of carbon reduction that must be achieved on site.
Finally, for that difficult to achieve 'last little bit' the developer can buy their way out of building the energy saving into the house and instead pay into a fund - details to be confirmed.
The shape of the triangle produces a reassuring impression that the heavy lifting is going to be done by measures actually on the property, and that only the last little bit will be simply 'bought'.
Hang on. Let's have a look at the actual figures. Government is favouring proposals from the Zero Carbon Hub. In their report, "Fabric Energy Efficiency for Zero Carbon Homes", the proportion of carbon reduction from each type of measure can be derived from the figure on the last page. I have tabulated the values below:
In every case, the bought-in Allowable Solutions represents the largest part of the savings. If the Zero Carbon Triangle were to be re-drawn so that the area of each section represented their relative contributions, it would look very different.
Let's at least not kid ourselves about how far away from delivering zero carbon on the ground we might be by accepting misleading graphics at face value.